Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.052312 0.056764 0.061268 0.066159 0.071313 0.076575 0.082348
2025-04-13 0.046488 0.053029 0.059866 0.067520 0.075824 0.084535 0.094339
2025-04-20 0.040527 0.048430 0.056942 0.066734 0.077630 0.089327 0.102776
2025-04-27 0.036390 0.045369 0.055304 0.067010 0.080323 0.094892 0.111945
2025-05-04 0.033547 0.043460 0.054695 0.068212 0.083874 0.101297 0.121991
2025-05-11 0.031654 0.042445 0.054941 0.070251 0.088277 0.108608 0.133055
2025-05-18 0.027657 0.038606 0.051601 0.067855 0.087335 0.109643 0.136824
2025-05-25 0.025151 0.036397 0.050038 0.067408 0.088547 0.113064 0.143272
2025-06-01 0.022960 0.034417 0.048611 0.066995 0.089689 0.116324 0.149475
2025-06-08 0.022122 0.034108 0.049207 0.069026 0.093762 0.123057 0.159800
2025-06-15 0.021050 0.033406 0.049239 0.070300 0.096875 0.128628 0.168754
2025-06-22 0.019867 0.032472 0.048904 0.071053 0.099303 0.133352 0.176693
2025-06-29 0.018327 0.030988 0.047818 0.070847 0.100572 0.136742 0.183151
2025-07-06 0.017609 0.030612 0.048176 0.072495 0.104186 0.143037 0.193197
2025-07-13 0.016101 0.029006 0.046791 0.071790 0.104750 0.145530 0.198581
2025-07-20 0.015082 0.028049 0.046240 0.072146 0.106648 0.149673 0.206004
2025-07-27 0.014455 0.027635 0.046411 0.073446 0.109760 0.155343 0.215342
2025-08-03 0.014144 0.027683 0.047220 0.075611 0.114015 0.162482 0.226555
2025-08-10 0.012454 0.025463 0.044689 0.073100 0.112020 0.161612 0.227683
2025-08-17 0.011486 0.024328 0.043671 0.072635 0.112706 0.164145 0.233083
2025-08-24 0.010599 0.023265 0.042708 0.072203 0.113400 0.166665 0.238458
2025-08-31 0.010436 0.023409 0.043551 0.074343 0.117596 0.173756 0.249701
2025-09-07 0.010083 0.023201 0.043844 0.075685 0.120705 0.179441 0.259174